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2024-12-14 00:32:11

Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.


The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Aviation Materials Co., Ltd. released the Procurement Project of Feasibility Study Report of Beijing Aviation Materials Research Institute Co., Ltd., and China Hangfa Online Mall released the Project of Feasibility Study Report of Beijing Aviation Materials Research Institute Co., Ltd.. The publishing unit is Beijing Institute of Aeronautical Materials Co., Ltd. (Aeronautical Materials Co., Ltd., 688563). Services include: feasibility study report of equity acquisition project; Feasibility study report on technology patent acquisition.European Commission President: Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media that Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area.


The State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035), and the State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035) approved by the Ministry of Natural Resources. By 2035, the cultivated land in Fuzhou will be no less than 1,421,300 mu, of which the permanent basic farmland protection area will be no less than 1,267,200 mu; The red line area of ecological protection is not less than 5082.05 square kilometers, of which the red line area of marine ecological protection is not less than 2671.73 square kilometers; The border area of urban development is controlled within 1000.63 square kilometers; The use area of construction land per unit GDP decreased by not less than 40%; The retention rate of natural coastline on the mainland is not lower than the tasks assigned by the higher authorities, of which it will be not lower than 40.31% in 2025; The total water consumption shall not exceed the indicators issued by the higher authorities, including 2.80 billion cubic meters in 2025; Except for major national projects, reclamation is completely prohibited; Strictly manage uninhabited islands. Clarify the key prevention and control areas of natural disaster risks, delimit risk control lines such as floods and earthquakes, as well as green space system lines, water body protection lines, historical and cultural protection lines and infrastructure construction control lines, and implement safety guarantee spaces such as strategic mineral resources.Dongpeng Beverage has set up two new companies in Hainan. According to the enterprise search APP, Hainan Dongpeng Beverage Marketing Co., Ltd. and Hainan Dongpeng Food & Beverage Co., Ltd. were established recently, and their legal representatives are both Liu Meili, with a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Enterprise investigation shows that both of them are wholly owned by Dongpeng Beverage.Li Ka-shing's H-share shareholding in China Postal Savings Bank decreased from 5.07% to 4.96%.

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